Leiflets Central Universal Health Insurance Financing Scenario
Illustrative mature annual financing scenario expressed in approximately 2024-equivalent dollars. This is a Leiflets research model, not a CBO, CMS, JCT or actuarial score.
Existing public-financing bridge
Employer health contribution
Household health contribution
Remaining additional federal financing
| Component | Annual Amount | Evidence Classification | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Core universal medical-insurance target | $3.950 trillion | Leiflets model assumption | Central planning target |
| Existing public-financing bridge | $1.738 trillion | Leiflets calculation | Modeled proxy; not guaranteed transferable cash |
| Employer health contribution | $650 billion | Leiflets model assumption | Uncalibrated placeholder |
| Household health contribution | $300 billion | Leiflets model assumption | Uncalibrated placeholder |
| Remaining additional federal financing | $1.262 trillion | Leiflets calculation | Conditional on all preceding assumptions |
Notes
The $3.95 trillion target is a post-reform planning envelope, not an official cost estimate. Modeled provider-payment, administrative and prescription-drug savings must not be subtracted again from this target as separate financing sources. The employer and household contribution amounts remain uncalibrated until distributional and tax-base modeling is completed.
Sources
[522]Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services
National Health Expenditure Accounts (NHEA): Definitions, Sources, and Methods
[523]Congressional Budget Office
How CBO Analyzes Proposals for a Single-Payer Health Care System
[527]Congressional Budget Office
Federal Subsidies for Health Insurance, 2026 to 2036