Leiflets Central Universal Health Insurance Financing Scenario

Illustrative mature annual financing scenario expressed in approximately 2024-equivalent dollars. This is a Leiflets research model, not a CBO, CMS, JCT or actuarial score.

Last updated: September 22, 2026#universal-healthcare#healthcare#health-financing#employer-contributions#household-contributions#federal-financing

Core universal medical-insurance target

Annual Amount$3.950 trillion
Evidence ClassificationLeiflets model assumption
StatusCentral planning target

Existing public-financing bridge

Annual Amount$1.738 trillion
Evidence ClassificationLeiflets calculation
StatusModeled proxy; not guaranteed transferable cash

Employer health contribution

Annual Amount$650 billion
Evidence ClassificationLeiflets model assumption
StatusUncalibrated placeholder

Household health contribution

Annual Amount$300 billion
Evidence ClassificationLeiflets model assumption
StatusUncalibrated placeholder

Remaining additional federal financing

Annual Amount$1.262 trillion
Evidence ClassificationLeiflets calculation
StatusConditional on all preceding assumptions

Notes

The $3.95 trillion target is a post-reform planning envelope, not an official cost estimate. Modeled provider-payment, administrative and prescription-drug savings must not be subtracted again from this target as separate financing sources. The employer and household contribution amounts remain uncalibrated until distributional and tax-base modeling is completed.

Sources

[521]Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services

NHE Fact Sheet

Primarygovernment
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[522]Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services

National Health Expenditure Accounts (NHEA): Definitions, Sources, and Methods

Primarygovernment report
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[523]Congressional Budget Office

How CBO Analyzes Proposals for a Single-Payer Health Care System

Primarygovernment analysis
View source →

[527]Congressional Budget Office

Federal Subsidies for Health Insurance, 2026 to 2036

Primarygovernment report
View source →

[528]Congressional Budget Office

Impose a New Payroll Tax

Primarygovernment analysis
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